Friday, October 10, 2008

Rose vs. Beasley

Derrick Rose will be a very good NBA point guard. He has the talent and physical ability to be an all-time great, but he will never crack the top 5 and likely not the top 10. If you look at the top 5 point guards in the history of the NBA (Magic, the Big O, Isaiah, Stockton, and Chris Paul if he continues) they were all leaders of their teams from day 1. Except for Stockton, they were/are the biggest personality and voice of the team. Derrick Rose was not even the leader of Memphis. My prediction for Rose’s career is a Joe Dumars without Isaiah having the ball so often. Statistically that means 17 points, 8 assists, 4 rebounds, and 3 turnovers. His size and quickness will provide for good defense and he will eventually become a good leader. In the East he should be a perennial All-Star and maybe a Hall-of-Famer.

Michael Beasley will be a good NBA Forward. He is less athletic than Rose, but has more basketball skill at this point. Beasley will be a better scoring Derrick Coleman (with the Nets)…3-5 more points per game as long as he remains interested. I don’t buy into the “character” issues scouts spoke about, but I do believe there will be personality conflicts. Beasley is skilled, but he is no Dwayne Wade. This could become a problem because Beasley is a dominating personality. In 3-4 years we will see Shaq and Kobe…before Colorado.

Derrick Rose will have the better career, though not statistically, but Beasley will have the more immediate impact. The Heat will challenge the Celtics’ record for greatest turnaround with a healthy Wade, Beasley, and Marion. The Heat will challenge for home court in the playoffs. The Bulls may challenge for the playoffs, but that is because I am not sold on the Wizards, Hawks, and Sixers. If they do make the playoff, they will be a 7 or 8 seed.

Rose will have the better career, but the Bulls should have drafted Beasley. Beasley would have given them more options and more wins this year. Drafting Beasley would have made Gooden, Noah, Thomas (and their reasonable contracts) all trade assets. Imagine Hinrich and Noah in a sign in trade for Baron Davis. The Bulls starting roster would be Davis, Hughes, Deng, Beasley, and Thomas. With Gordon, Gooden, and Nocioni coming off the bench, the Bulls have a deep talented roster. That would be a better team than the current Bulls roster (Hinrich, Hughes, Deng, Gooden, Noah) and they are in a position to succeed in the future.

TheGapMan

TheGapMan@live.com

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